domenica 23 maggio 2010

International instructions here: OPERATION SAMSON

International instructions here:

OPERATION SAMSON (OS)

[in memory of all the members of the international Special Forces died as a consequence of Depleted Uranium contamination and their families]

1 - Evoke all the special forces survived to depleted uranium contamination.
2 - Round up your local Central Bank.
3 - Jail all the people inside and substitute them with Special Commissaries.
4 - Establish instantly a BASIC INCOME for all citizens of the country.
5 - Freeze all debts and repay them by new fiat-money.
6 - Be happy and free. And don't forget to thanks the Special Forces participating in the OS with BIG BONUSES !!!

[Remember: 2,500 Italian DU victims in the military forces (as of 2006 !!!) during "UsuryKeeping" missions.]
WE don't forget !

Medical Effects of Internal Contamination with Uranium


See also: THE ‘RESIGNATION’ OF ADMIRAL DENNIS C. BLAIR

On Friday 21st May 2010, Admiral Dennis C. Blair, the Director of National Intelligence, announced his resignation from the top US intelligence post. He gave no reason for his sudden departure in a public statement that he circulated to the 16 US intelligence agencies that he oversaw.

giovedì 20 maggio 2010

A Message from Argentina

A Message from Argentina: Our Sympathies to the People of Greece!

There are disconcerting parallels between Argentina’s catastrophic decade, 1991-2001, which ended in massive default, and Greece’s recent and impending difficulties. In both cases, international credit organisations were to blame and both countries were beset by widespread protests and riots over austerity measures imposed by the IMF. Argentinian economist Adrián Salbuchi offers a hard-hitting analysis of this engineered crisis which knows no boundaries.

When Argentinians watch the news today and see the terrible things that are happening in Greece, we cannot but say, “Hey!! This is EXACTLY like Argentina in December 2001 and beginning of 2002…!”. Then too, Argentina underwent its worst systemic banking, public debt and monetary collapse which led to social turmoil, mad violence, rioting, and social war. The turmoil was so bad, that it forced then president Fernando de la Rúa’s government to resign, especially because of his notorious pro-banker cartel economy minister, Domingo Cavallo, generating a political vacuum that led to Argentina having 5 (five!!) presidents in that terrible last week of December 2001.

What triggered social chaos in Argentina was the attempt by president De la Rúa to implement the grossly unjust austerity measures imposed by the IMF that required, as usual, utmost sacrifice from the people – more taxes, less social spending, “balanced budgets”, zero deficit spending, amongst other anti-social measures – which led to a fall of almost 40% in Argentina’s GDP.

Half of all Argentinians fell below the poverty line (most were never to make it back to the traditional Argentina middle class), private banks were allowed to legally retain everybody’s savings, US dollar deposits were arbitrarily changed into Pesos at whatever rate of exchange the government and bankers decided (the dollar was devalued 300% from one peso to the dollar, to 4 pesos the dollar in just weeks) and yet…. Not one bank fell!!! Indeed, since then they’re all back in “business as usual”, however the poor and impoverished are today totally out of business…

Throughout 25 years of successive caretaker governments in Argentina, the IMF-led Global Banking Cartel artificially generated a basically illegal – or at best, illegitimate – Sovereign Debt that grew so huge, that it ended up collapsing the entire financial and economic system. That was no coincidence. It was part of a highly complex model, engineered to control entire countries, through a cycle having sequential stages and identifiable parts that has one basic overriding goal: when the finance economy is fueled to run in an artificial “growth mode”, the bulk of all profits are privatized into the hands of their “friends”, managers and operators. However, when the whole scheme – like all Ponzi schemes - reaches its climax and total collapse is at hand, they revert the process and then socialize all losses.

That’s what Mr. Cavallo - a Rockefeller protégé - achieved, ensuring that the Argentine people bore all the losses, whilst the international banksters took all the profits. The mainstream media – both global and local – willingly obliged; The New York Times went so far as to suggest that the entire Patagonian region (i.e., the 5 southern provinces of Argentina accounting for 35% of Argentina’s territory and having immeasurable energy, mining, foodstuff, water resource wealth), should secede from the rest of the country as a way of “resolving our foreign debt woes…”

Now, that was Argentina 2001/2002 but, isn’t that also the case when today’s US taxpayer bails out Goldman Sachs, AIG, CitiCorp and GM whilst losing his house, pension and job? Isn’t that what is happening to Greece today? And Iceland? And the UK? And Ireland? And – anytime soon – Spain? Portugal? Italy…?

In Argentina, our people ended up getting used to being much poorer, so when “normal” times returned, the Goldman Sachs and Citicorp controlled local media were able to ensure that a new puppet regime subservient to the money interests should come to power: i.e., the husband and wife pro-banking mafia team of Néstor and Cristina Kirchner… And the merry-go-round keeps turning and turning, whilst the Argentine people keep paying and paying…

Today, we look at Greece and see the same tell-tale signs: the IMF imposing strict austerity measures as a condition for the banks to lend more money to them (as if a country collapsing under the burden of debt can overcome that by getting into even more debt!!), the mainstream media speaking vociferously on the need for “Greece to do things correctly and responsibly” (as if the US FED, the Bank of England, Goldman Sachs and the US Treasury, Greenspan, Bernanke, Paulson, Brown, Geithner, Blankfein, Greenberg were examples of responsible accountability), local caretaker governments doing all they can on behalf of banking interests (George Papandreou is a regular at the Bilderberg and Trilateral Commission meetings, as was Fernando de la Rúa, a founding member of the local chapter of the Council on Foreign Relations in Argentina called CARI), major banks such as Goldman Sachs trying to collect their pound of flesh in the midst of all the turmoil and hardship; all of this against a backdrop of desperate citizens taking to the streets to express what is obvious to all: that international bankers and local caretaker government form a complex association of thieves and robbers.

The inevitable then occurs: the Government sends the police out to the streets to protect the bankers, themselves and New World Order power elite interests... Then violence flares up, people get hurt and die…. The poor (police) battle against the poor (population), whilst the rich look on from a safe distance with a chuckle…

Make no mistake: this is a Global Model.

Make no mistake: there is NO democracy, not even in Athens, its birthplace.

What we people suffer the world over – be it in Greece, or Argentina, or Brazil, or Indonesia, or Spain, or Iceland, or the US or the UK - is a mechanical mass vote-counting system, that is totally dependent on huge quantities of money, necessary to finance costly political campaigns, purchase radio, TV and press coverage, pay for grotesque political party structures, journalists, analysts, and of course to pay for the well-marketed candidates themselves: that vast array of decrepit stooges we read about in the papers every day: Bush, Blair, Papandreou, Obama, Clinton, Menem, Kirchner, Lula, Uribe, Sarkozy, Rodriguez Zapatero, Merkel...

What we have is a “democracy” that is totally subservient to money, however we need to understand that money is NOT democratic (nor should it be). Money is controlled by the mega-Banking structure that uses the IMF, World Bank, FED, BIS, ECB as its global regulating entities, and pays to run the whole “Democracy Show”. Ergo, we end up having “the best democracy that money can buy”... which is no Democracy at all...

The results of this could be tragically seen in Argentina, Turkey, Brazil, Mexico, Indonesia, yesterday; in Greece, Iceland, the US and the UK, today...

So, who’s next? Spain?, Italy? Portugal? Will the European Monetary System just blow up to pieces? A 750 Billion Euro Bail-out will send the recently born (still in diapers) Euro into a tailspin… Will the European Monetary Mechanism fall apart? Will Germany be the first to revert to the gold old Deutsch-Mark?

Will the collapsing Euro and the technically hyper-inflated US Dollar (Shhh! Don’t say that aloud!!) pave the way for a new, essentially private Global Currency to be managed on a planetary scale by the private money cartel of the Goldman Sach’s, HSBC’s, CitCorp’s, Deutsche Bank’s of this world?

Stay tuned… There is much, much more to come…

Adrian Salbuchi is an author, economist, and expert on globalization, founder of the Argentine Second Republic Movement. The photograph shows a woman giving the Victory sign as she holds a banner reading ’Greece is not for sale, Long Live Greece, Long Live Theodorakis’, during a demonstration next to the Greek embassy in Buenos Aires on May 12, 2010, in support of Greek trade unions, which called for a general strike against government budget cuts. This article first appeared on Voltaire.net

domenica 16 maggio 2010

Help! What’s the cure for financial insanity?

Help! What’s the cure for financial insanity?

Now that the bank lobbyists are nearly finished neutering the financial reform bill, it’s time to face reality: our financial world will continue to be run by the very financiers who crashed the system two years ago. The bankers’ arguments ricocheting through the halls of Congress make it seem as if our financial system is basically rational and sound — that only a few flaws need fixing. That’s lunacy. Our bright bankers may be rational as individuals, but collectively they perpetuate a fractured system gone utterly mad… and getting madder every day.

So the financial insanity will continue, with such psychotic outcomes as these:

1.Our pensions and 401ks will continue on their roller coaster ride, driven by market chaos and high-speed computer cacophony. Last week, the automatic trading programs our financial geniuses invented sent the Dow into a one-hour, 1,000-point freefall. Thank goodness it was only one hour. Two would have set off a global panic. No one is sure what happened or why. But don’t worry, we’re told. The glitches will be fixed and all will be well. (Just as a little technological tinkering is sure to prevent another offshore oil disaster too–not a problem!) In a saner world we would be asking the obvious: Does that high-speed trading serve the needs of our people, or is it just another high-risk strategy to enrich the largest and most connected investors?

2. Big financial institutions, now fully assured that they are indeed too big to fail, will continue to dominate both finance and politics. Anyone in their right mind knows that allowing five or six banks to control our entire financial system is a recipe for disaster and a major threat to democracy. What’s the excuse for this form of madness? Well, we’re told, during the Great Depression 4,000 banks failed (including lots of little ones), which proves that size doesn’t matter. Please help me with this logic: Many banks failed and caused the Great Depression. A few big banks failed and caused our recent Great Recession…Therefore big banks are better? (Somebody flunked their Logic 101 class.) Here’s what our experience tells us. Banks, both big and small, when left to play out in the street unsupervised, often end up at the casino tables– gambling with our money. Big banks are an even bigger risk, because they have the power to gamble with our democracy as well.

3. We’ll continue to pay top hedge fund managers 26,000 times more than we pay teachers. This goes back to a question I asked in an earlier post: Are 25 hedge fund managers worth 658,000 teachers? Apparently they are, since that’s what they netted in 2009 during which they enjoyed the benefits of our $8 trillion (not billion) bailout. We rescued every hedge fund and bank, but left more than 30 million Americans scrambling for full-time work. This soaring unemployment caused tax revenues to tank, touching off fiscal crises in nearly every state. So governments dramatically cut spending and axed tens of thousands of teachers. The ultimate losers? Public school kids all over the country who were hoping for a good education. The winners? The bankers who caused the crisis. Even during the worst year since the Great Depression.–the sun was still shining on Wall Street, with a $150 billion bonus pool and a billion dollars each for the top 25 hedge fund managers. We put no windfall profits taxes on those billions, even though the money came directly from the U.S. treasury in the form of bailouts. We even allowed that income to be taxed at lower capital gains rates. That’s rational?

4. Little countries that falter, like Greece, will continue to put the whole global economy at risk. We’re told that the Greeks have only themselves to blame: They retire too early, drink too much retsina and often break into dance without warning….all on borrowed money. Yes, they broke the EU’s debt limit rules. But they had a bit of help from Goldman Sachs, which made hundreds of millions of dollars in fees for creating complex derivatives to “help” the Greek government hide their debt. And yet Congress still refuses to regulate these scary financial items because they are “customized.” Of course it was the global crash begun by our big banks that sparked the Greek fiscal crisis in the first place. In a sane world, the largest banks and the wealthiest investors in Greek debt (who caused the crash in the first place) would be forced to make reparations for the damage they caused. Instead, we have to make the Greeks stop dancing? Sicko.

5. The deficit hysteria drumbeat will build to a deafening crescendo. Forget about taxing the super-rich–we’ve got to cut benefits for working people instead. Respected journalists like New York Times columnist David Leonhardt warn us that we’re all living beyond our means. It’s time to tighten our belts or we’ll end up like Greece. No more tax breaks for health and housing. We’ve got to retire later, with less money, and cut our medical expenses. And our wages have to become more “competitive.” But who is “we”? Where are all these high-living people? The average non-supervisory production worker in America (about 75 percent of the workforce) has already seen an 18 percent drop in real wages since the mid 1970s. Meanwhile productivity increased by more than 90 percent. Yet now we’ve got to tighten our belts? Where did all that money from the higher productivity go, if not to us? No surprise here: into the hands of the few.

It all goes back to that most glaring symptom and cause of our psychosis: our insane maldistribution of income, which gets worse and worse every year. The richest 1 percent of Americans now earn more than the bottom 50 percent. Back in 1973, the richest 1 percent of earners collected 8 percent of the national income. By 2006, the top 1 percent got nearly 23 percent of the national income — the highest proportion since 1929. Or look at the pay gap on the job: In 1970, the top 100 CEOs earned 45 times more than their workers, on average. In 2009 the ratio was 1,071 to 1.

Here’s an example of what this maldistribution is costing us: The top 400 richest Americans have a combined wealth of more than $1.3 trillion. And that’s enough money to endow every public college and university in the country so that students could attend tuition-free in perpetuity. (Hopefully some would decide to graduate before then.)

We need to return to Eisenhower era tax rates: 91 percent on those earning over $3 million in today’s dollars. The money would roll in, and the deficit hawks would sound like parakeets.

The ultimate insanity of our current moment is that the richest investors and the largest bankers in the world just crashed our system, got bailed out by taxpayers, grew even larger, and now are back to earning record profits and bonuses. They caused the biggest jobs crisis since the Great Depression and drove the entire global economy into a ditch–and they could do it again any minute. And now they’re telling us to tighten our belts and act more responsibly?

Here’s the good news. The American people sense something is really wrong. They’re angry at Wall Street and anyone in its pocket. It’s taken a while, but the truth is seeping in. The angry public forced Congress to bring those squirming bankers into their hearing rooms. Unfortunately, Congress caved when it came to actually passing a strong reform bill that would bust up the biggest banks, end windfall profits and curb the gambling. Too bad the average citizen has no way to register his or her anger except to vote the “ins” out. Since. both parties are largely in the pocket of the financial industry (and other industries), it’s hard, if not impossible, to be optimistic about the new “ins.”

Imagine if we could vote for something like a jobs and environment party, free from Wall Street’s money, that was dedicated to putting ALL of our people to work building a truly sustainable economy? Now that would be really insane.

Les Leopold is the author of The Looting of America: How Wall Street’s Game of Fantasy Finance destroyed our Jobs, Pensions and Prosperity, and What We Can Do About It Chelsea Green Publishing, June 2009.

After graduating from Oberlin College and Princeton University's Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs (MPA 1975), Les co-founded and currently directs two non-profit educational organizations: The Labor Institute (1976) and the Public Health Institute (1986). He designs research and educational programs on occupational safety and health, the environment and economics. He is now helping to form an alliance between the United Steel Workers Union and the Sierra Club. Leopold is the author of The Looting of America: How Wall Street's Game of Fantasy Finance destroyed our Jobs, Pensions and Prosperity, and What We Can Do About It, Chelsea Green Publishing, June 2009.

sabato 15 maggio 2010

Daily Show: Rigged Market Hoarders

Daily Show: Rigged Market Hoarders

Video loading from thedailyshow.com ...
Collected from thedailyshow.com 20 hours ago with the description: Jon calls for a nut-based economy and prays that nobody on Wall Street is a squirrel. Airdate - 05/13/2010.

Provisional list / Classifica provvisoria

Provisional list May 10, 2010/ Classifica provvisoria, ore 12, 10 maggio 2010:


A Koshy
1699
NANGAR SOOMRO
1020
Turil Cronburg
942
Julio Cesar Corona Ortega
809
Ursula Kochanowsky
806
ben
791
martin thuering
782
Pradip Dey
781
Jeremy Laird Hogg
767
Miaomiao Huang
746
Michele Saba
684
Karamveer Lalh
678
Giuseppe Giovanni Calvi
662
opelo kuda ndikimbela
654
Johan Sundqvist
634
Stephen Baines
624
Teresa R
621
Mayur Ranchod
607
Sfiso Mbhele
606
Amy Kate Payne
606
Leandra
601
Dyllan Ocker
599
Shtanto
597
Marshall and Jerod
593
Khayalethu Kuphu
592
Shaun King
591
Myles Waldeck
590
Kirsten Moore
586
Gillian Robinson
584
Alison Schwamkrug
582
Nick Gogerty
581
Colin Roland Frenzel
580
Faheem Moosa
570
Charlotte
565
Vivian Volirakis
557
Brad Gardner
552
Daniel ONeil
550
Christopher Curry
545

venerdì 14 maggio 2010

The Dark Magic of Structured Finance

The Dark Magic of Structured Finance

In Too Big To Save Robert Pozen gives a clever example, based on an excellent paper by Coval, Jurek and Stafford, which explains both the lure of structured finance and why the model exploded so quickly.

Suppose we have 100 mortgages that pay $1 or $0. The probability of default is 0.05. We pool the mortgages and then prioritize them into tranches such that tranche 1 pays out $1 if no mortgage defaults and $0 otherwise, tranche 2 pays out $1 if 1 or fewer mortgages defaults, $0 otherwise. Tranche 10 then pays out $1 if 9 or fewer mortgages default and $0 otherwise. Tranche 10 has a probability of defaulting of 2.82 percent. A fortiori tranches 11 and higher all have lower probabilities of defaulting. Thus, we have transformed 100 securities each with a default of 5% into 9 with probabilities of default greater than 5% and 91 with probabilities of default less than 5%.

Now let's try this trick again. Suppose we take 100 of these type-10 tranches and suppose we now pool and prioritize these into tranches creating 100 new securities. Now tranche 10 of what is in effect a CDO will have a probability of default of just 0.05 percent, i.e. p=.000543895 to be exact. We have now created some "super safe," securities which can be very profitable if there are a lot of investors demanding triple AAA.

To review we have assumed that the underlying mortgages each have a probability of default of p=.05 and by pooling and prioritizing we have created a tranche with a probability of default of just p=.0282 and a CDO with a probability of default of p=.0005. In this way, structured finance was able to create many triple AAA securities from a pool of securities none of which were triple AAA. This point is widely understood. Now here is a much less well understood consequence.

Suppose that we misspecified the underlying probability of mortgage default and we later discover the true probability is not .05 but .06. In terms of our original mortgages the true default rate is 20 percent higher than we thought--not good but not deadly either. However, with this small error, the probability of default in the 10 tranche jumps from p=.0282 to p=.0775, a 175% increase. Moreover, the probability of default of the CDO jumps from p=.0005 to p=.247, a 45,000% increase!

The dark magic of structured finance conjured many low-risk securities out of many risky securities. Like all dark magic, however, the conjuring came at a price because if you didn't get the spell exactly correct it was easy to create something much more risky and dangerous than you were likely to have ever imagined.

Here is an excel file, StructuredFinanceMath, with the calculations.

Posted by Alex Tabarrok on May 13, 2010

giovedì 13 maggio 2010

Networking solution for agents to stay in touch while on future missions

Networking solution for agents to stay in touch while on future missions


Dear all agents of 2010 Evoke game,

here you can post and send comments while on future missions.

Kind regards,

Michele Saba

P.S. My page on Urgent Evoke:
http://www.urgentevoke.com/profile/MicheleSaba

Caduta l’altra faccia del muro di Berlino – a molti rimane la berlina...

Caduta l’altra faccia del muro di Berlino – a molti non rimane che la berlina "Al singolo, o alla collettività, spetta la resistenza co...